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I have some question-and-answer threads over on the Facebook page. Link to those threads CLICK HERE
Or email me at beaudodsonweather@gmail.com
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🌪️ Seven-Day Tornado Outlook ⛈️
January 28th through February 3rd
Current risk: No concerns.
Current confidence level: High confidence.
Comments: Severe weather is not anticipated.
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Seven-Day Hazardous Weather Outlook
1. Is lightning in the forecast? NO.
2. Are organized/widespread severe thunderstorms in the forecast? NO.
..3. Is significant or widespread flash flooding in the forecast? NO.
4. Will non-thunderstorm winds top 40 mph? NO.
5. Will the temperature fall below 20 degrees? YES. Tonight through Sunday night.
6. Is the wind chill forecast to drop below ten degrees? YES. Yes, on and off into Sunday.
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If you have experienced frozen pipes with temperatures in the single digits and teens, then you could have problems.
Use these on outdoor water faucets. They cover the faucet. You could also wrap the nozzle in a blanket.
You can buy these at Lowe’s, Home Depot, Rural King, and other similar stores.
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⛈️ Here is the short-range thunderstorm concern meter.
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⛈️ Here is the extended thunderstorm concern meter.
We will remain in the green. No thunderstorm threats.
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Here is your bus stop forecast
No school today
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This afternoon
No school today
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Forecast discussion
- Tranquel weather into the weekend. A few flurries or snow showers are possible.
- Light snow accumulation possible (zero to less than one inch).
- Bitterly cold, at times. Use care.
- If the kids play outside, then layer them up with clothes and mittens/gloves. This is frostbite weather.
- Cold weather into the weekend. Somewhat warmer next week.
- I am not tracking any significant snowstorms.
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What is the primary weather concern?
Cold temperatures will be the primary concern today through Sunday. Bitterly cold, at times.
Some snow showers and snow flurries are possible Thursday through Saturday. I will keep an eye on next week. Some light precipitation is possible.
At this time, any accumulation appears light.
Don’t forget to change your pets’ outdoor water bowls. They will freeze over.
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Seven-day outlook graphic.
See the video or graphics below for more details specific to your county. This is a broad-brush overview of the entire region.
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Today through Sunday night
The primary weather story will be the cold temperatures.
Some snow flurries and snow showers are possible from Thursday into Sunday. Mainly on Thursday night into Saturday.
Accumulation, if any, will be light. That means a dusting to maybe one inch.
Here are a few model packages that show that snow.
These are the EC ensembles. The general idea is that if all the squares agree, then confidence in the outcome is higher.
As you can see, a lot of model squares show a dusting or so of snow on Thursday into Saturday evening.
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This is the NAM model snowfall for Thursday into Saturday.
It is a bit more bullish, but doesn’t really do well past 24 to 36 hours.
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This is the RRFS model snowfall for Thursday into Saturday.
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This is the GFS model snowfall for Thursday into Saturday.
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As you can see, most data shows a hint of snow accumulation.
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Wind chills will be an issue this week. Remember, wind chill is what it feels like to the human body.
Wind chill can lead to frostbite. Bundle up. Bundle up the kids.
Let me show you the wind chill values
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Several people have fallen through the ice over the past few days. Please make sure the kids stay off area lakes and ponds. Rivers, as well.
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Let’s take a look at the low temperatures for the upcoming week.
A WIDE variety of temperatures. If you have a deeper snow pack, then temperatures are a bit lower than shown. If you have a few clouds during the overnight period, then temperatures will be a tad warmer. Either way, it is cold.
Wednesday morning low temperatures.
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Thursday morning low temperatures.
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Saturday’s high temperatures
Sunday’s low temperatures
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Monday’s low temperatures
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Modnay’s high temperatures
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Tuesday’s high temperatures
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That is the main story. Cold weather.
A cold front will move into the region on Thursday and Friday. This will bring a fresh batch of cold air.
A few snow showers are possible on Thursday into Saturday. As mentioned above.
A dusting to 1″ of snow is possible.
A major East Coast storm will bring a few clouds to our region. Maybe a snow shower on Saturday.
You can see that storm here on the GFS model.
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I am watching next week and the following week for a few cold fronts. Too soon to know if snow or rain will accompany them.
Stay warm out there.
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The timestamp (upper left) is in Zulu. 12z=6 am. 18z=12 pm. 00z=6 pm.
Double-click the animation to enlarge it.
Green is rain. Yellow is moderate rain. Orange and red indicate locally heavy rain.
Blue is snow.
NAM model
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The timestamp (upper left) is in Zulu. 12z=6 am. 18z=12 pm. 00z=6 pm.
Double-click the animation to enlarge it.
Green is rain. Yellow is moderate rain. Red is locally heavy rain. Blue is snow.
GFS model
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The timestamp (upper left) is in Zulu. 12z=6 am. 18z=12 pm. 00z=6 pm.
Double-click the animation to enlarge it.
Green is rain. Yellow is moderate rain. Blue is snow.
Double-click the animation to enlarge it.
GFS model
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Click here if you would like to return to the top of the page.
.Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 44 degrees.
Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 28 degrees.
Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.25″
Six to Ten Day Outlook.
Blue is below average. Red is above average. The no color zone represents equal chances.
Average highs for this time of the year are in the lower 60s. Average lows for this time of the year are in the lower 40s.
Green is above average precipitation. Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation. Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.
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Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 26 degrees.
Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.25″
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Eight to Fourteen Day Outlook.
Blue is below average. Red is above average. The no color zone represents equal chances.
Green is above average precipitation. Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation. Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.
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We have a new service to complement your www.weathertalk.com subscription. This does NOTreplace www.weathertalk.com It is simply another tool for you to receive severe weather information.
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https://weathercallservices.com/beau-dodson-weather
Want to receive the daily forecast/other products on your Beau Dodson Weather app?
Did you know you have four options in your www.weathertalk.com account
You will then receive these via your Beau Dodson Weather app.
Just log into your www.weathertalk.com account
Click the NOTIFICATION SETTINGS TAB
Then, turn them on (green) and off (red)
🌪️ Number 1 is the most important one. Severe alerts, tornado alerts, and so on.
Number 2 is the daily video, blog, livestream alerts, and severe weather Facebook threads on severe days or winter storm days.
Number 3 is the daily forecast. I send that out every day during the afternoon hours. It is the seven-day forecast, hazardous weather outlook, fire outlook, and more.
Number 4 is to receive the daily video, blog, and other content on NON-severe weather days (every day without severe threats in other words)
GREEN IS ON
RED IS OFF
I am going to start going live during bigger severe weather events.
Check it out here https://www.youtube.com/user/beaudodson
Click the subscribe button (it’s a free subscription button), and it will alert you when I go live. I will also send out alerts to the app when I go live for an event.
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Radars and Lightning Data
Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ
Old legacy radar site (some of you like it better)
https://weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm
If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.
Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani
Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4
** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar
If the radar is not working, then email me: Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com
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We do have some sponsors! Check them out.
Roof damage from recent storms? Link – Click here
INTEGRITY ROOFING AND EXTERIORS!
⛈️ Roof or gutter damage from recent storms? Today’s weather is sponsored by Integrity Roofing. Check out their website at this link https://www.ourintegritymatters.com/
Make sure you have three to five ways of receiving your severe weather information.
Weather Talk is one of those ways! Now, I have another product for you and your family.
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Receive daily videos, weather blog updates on normal weather days and severe weather and winter storm days, your county by county weather forecast, and more!
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The app is for subscribers. Subscribe at www.weathertalk.com/welcome then go to your app store and search for WeatherTalk
Subscribers, PLEASE USE THE APP. ATT and Verizon are not reliable during severe weather. They are delaying text messages.
The app is under WeatherTalk in the app store.
Apple users click here
Android users click here
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Radars and Lightning Data
Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ
Old legacy radar site (some of you like it better)
https://weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm
If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.
Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani
Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4
** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar
Lightning Data (zoom in and out of your local area)
https://wtalk.co/WJ3SN5UZ
Not working? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com
National map of weather watches and warnings. Click here.
Storm Prediction Center. Click here.
Weather Prediction Center. Click here.
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Live lightning data: Click here.
Real time lightning data (another one) https://map.blitzortung.org/#5.02/37.95/-86.99
Our new Zoom radar with storm chases
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Interactive GOES R satellite. Track clouds. Click here.
GOES 16 slider tool. Click here.
College of DuPage satellites. Click here
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Here are the latest local river stage forecast numbers Click Here.
Here are the latest lake stage forecast numbers for Kentucky Lake and Lake Barkley Click Here.
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