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🌪️ Seven-Day Tornado Outlook ⛈️
December 5th through December 11th.
Current risk: NONE
Current confidence level: High confidence.
Comments:
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Seven-Day Hazardous Weather Outlook
1. Is lightning in the forecast? NO.
2. Are organized/widespread severe thunderstorms in the forecast? NO.
4. Will non-thunderstorm winds top 40 mph? NO.
5. Will the temperature fall below 20 degrees? POSSIBLE. On Sunday night. I will monitor next Thursday and Friday night.
6. Is the wind chill forecast to drop below ten degrees? NO.
Here is the short-range concern meter.

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Here is the extended concern meter.
No severe weather concerns.

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A quick forecast glance. Your 48-hour forecast Graphics



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Here is your bus stop forecast
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This afternoon
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Forecast discussion
- Cold weather to continue into early next week.
- Several fast-moving weak systems to monitor. For now, the chance of a wintry mix remains low. I am closely monitoring it.
- A brief warm-up towards the middle of next week. Then, more cold air.
- Overall, December continues to look colder than seasonal averages. We are certainly off to a cold start.
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Seven-day outlook graphic.
See the video for more details specific to your county. This is a broad-brushed outlook for the entire region.
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Let’s look at autumn. These statistics are from the Paducah, Kentucky, NWS.
Double-click the image to enlarge it.
These are the average temperatures and precipitation totals from September through November.
Today through Sunday
6 AM temperatures
Double brrrr. Some of you are waking up to the coldest air of the winter season, thus far! Check out my northern counties.
That is what happens when clouds clear. Temperatures drop like a rock. Other areas, with clouds, are still around 30 degrees. Big range.
These were the 6 AM air temperatures.

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We are starting the weekend off on a cold note. It is going to remain chilly into the middle of next week.
Normal highs for this time of the year are around 50 degrees. Normal lows are around 32 degrees.
No weather concerns today. There might be some patchy fog this morning. Use care in those areas.
I am hoping the clouds will clear the region today. Some of you did see the sun yesterday, but many did not. It can be tricky to scour out clouds during the winter months. That has been the problem over the last few days (for some).
Where clouds linger during the day, temperatures tend to be colder. At night, those same clouds keep temperatures a bit warmer. They act like a blanket at night.
We will see temperatures rise into the upper thirties to mid-forties on Saturday. That is ahead of our next cold front.
It will be dry today through Saturday afternoon.
Highs on Sunday should pop back into the forties, as well.
A cold front will push into the region on Saturday night and Sunday. This will bring increasing clouds with a chance of light showers or snow showers. A small chance of freezing rain. This will linger into Sunday night.
At this time, we do not expect any accumulation or impacts. The precipitation is just too light.
Let me show you the precipitation probabilities.
What is the % chance of precipitation?
Saturday 6 PM to Sunday 6 AM

Sunday 6 AM to Sunday 6 PM

Sunday 6 PM to Monday 6 AM

As you can see, the probabilities are low. The totals will be light.
I don’t expect any travel impacts. As always, I will keep an eye on it.
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Monday through Thursday
Some clouds may linger into Monday. Small chances of precipitation on Monday.
Highs on Monday, behind the cold front, will only pop into the 30s. Cold again.
We will warm up a little bit on Tuesday and Wednesday. Then, another cold front will push through the region on Wednesday and Thursday.
That will knock temperatures back down.
At this time, there is a low chance of rain showers on Wednesday and Wednesday night, ahead of the cold front. I can’t rule out some flurries behind the cold front on Thursday and Thursday night.
Let’s look at those precipitation probabilities.
Wednesday 6 AM to Wednesday 6 PM

Wednesday 6 PM to Thursday 6 AM

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At this time, I am not tracking any significant storm systems. Rain or snow.
I do expect several shots of cold air into late December. Some of those cold fronts may bring us some snow. For now, it is just too far out for an accurate forecast.
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The timestamp (upper left) is in Zulu. 12z=6 am. 18z=12 pm. 00z=6 pm.
Double-click the animation to enlarge it.
NAM model
Green is rain. Blue is snow. Pink, red, and purple are freezing rain and sleet.
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The timestamp (upper left) is in Zulu. 12z=6 am. 18z=12 pm. 00z=6 pm.
Double-click the animation to enlarge it.
GFS model
Green is rain. Blue is snow. Pink, red, and purple are freezing rain and sleet.
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Click here if you would like to return to the top of the page.
.Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 50 degrees.
Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 32 degrees.
Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.25″
Six to Ten Day Outlook.
Blue is below average. Red is above average. The no color zone represents equal chances.
Average highs for this time of the year are in the lower 60s. Average lows for this time of the year are in the lower 40s.

Green is above average precipitation. Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation. Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.

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Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 31 degrees.
Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.25″
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Eight to Fourteen Day Outlook.
Blue is below average. Red is above average. The no color zone represents equal chances.

Green is above average precipitation. Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation. Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.

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Radars and Lightning Data
Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ
Old legacy radar site (some of you like it better)
https://weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm
If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.
Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani
Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4
** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar
Lightning Data (zoom in and out of your local area)
https://wtalk.co/WJ3SN5UZ
Not working? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com
National map of weather watches and warnings. Click here.
Storm Prediction Center. Click here.
Weather Prediction Center. Click here.
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Live lightning data: Click here.
Real time lightning data (another one) https://map.blitzortung.org/#5.02/37.95/-86.99
Our new Zoom radar with storm chases
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Interactive GOES R satellite. Track clouds. Click here.
GOES 16 slider tool. Click here.
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Here are the latest local river stage forecast numbers Click Here.
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