Beau Dodson's WeatherTalk Blog

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I have some question-and-answer threads over on the Facebook page.  Link to those threads CLICK HERE

Or email me at beaudodsonweather@gmail.com

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🌪️ Seven-Day Tornado Outlook ⛈️

October 7th through October 13th

Current risk:  NO

Current confidence level: High confidence in the forecast.

Comments:   Tornadoes are not in the forecast.

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Here is your bus stop forecast.

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This afternoon

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We will have numerous showers and thunderstorms on the radar today.  The shower and thunderstorm activity will taper from northwest to southeast as we move through the afternoon and evening hours.  Coming to an end overnight.

Locally heavy downpours are likely.

An additional 0.40″ to 0.80″ of rain is likely across most of the region, perhaps a bit lower from Butler County, Missouri, north to Ste. Genevieve County, Missouri, and then east to Jefferson County, Illinois.

Locally, totals are expected to exceed an inch today.

When all is said and done, much of the region will have received an inch or two of rain.  Then, local spots will exceed those amounts.  That is more likely when showers and thunderstorms repeatedly train over the same areas.

The locally heavy rain could cause flooding of ditches and roadways.  Mainly, the commonly flooded areas.

Here are the latest rainfall forecast numbers.

Notice the sharp gradient over my northwestern counties.

Ohio Valley view

Missouri View

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Severe weather is not anticipated; however, storms are expected to produce lightning and downpours.

The cold front will push across the region today and tonight.  This will usher in cooler temperatures.

Highs will be in the 70s later this week.  Overnight lows will dip into the 40s and lower 50s.  It might actually feel like autumn outside!

I can’t rule out some lows in the thirties in cold-weather spots.   That would be on Wednesday and Thursday night.

Let’s take a look at the ensemble temperature forecast.  This is the mean of 100 models.

As you can see, temperatures will be lower than they have been in recent weeks.

Average highs for this time of the year are around the 76 to 78 degree range.  Average low temperatures are in the lower 50s.

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.Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 78 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 54 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.25″

Six to Ten Day Outlook.

Blue is below average.  Red is above average.  The no color zone represents equal chances.

Average highs for this time of the year are in the lower 60s.  Average lows for this time of the year are in the lower 40s.

Green is above average precipitation.  Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation.  Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.

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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 76 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 51 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.25″
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Eight to Fourteen Day Outlook.

Blue is below average.  Red is above average.  The no color zone represents equal chances.

Green is above average precipitation.  Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation.  Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.

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** NEW SERVICE **  I have partnered with WeatherCall to bring you an added layer of protection.
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More information on the WeatherCall subscription service at the link below or use the QR code.

https://weathercallservices.com/beau-dodson-weather

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We have a new service to complement your www.weathertalk.com subscription.  This does NOTreplace www.weathertalk.com It is simply another tool for you to receive severe weather information.

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I use it myself. I encourage everyone to have 3 to 5 ways of receiving their severe weather information. All sources can fail, and the more sources you have, the better prepared you will be in the event of severe weather warnings.

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WeatherCall will call your cell phone or home number if your home is under a tornado or severe thunderstorm warning.  It only calls you ifyour home is inside the warning box/polygon. If you are outside the warning box/polygon it will not disturb you.

Here is a video with more information and a demonstration of how it works.
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More information on the WeatherCall subscription service at the link below or use the QR code.

https://weathercallservices.com/beau-dodson-weather

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Want to receive the daily forecast/other products on your Beau Dodson Weather app?

Did you know you have four options in your www.weathertalk.com account

You will then receive these via your Beau Dodson Weather app.

Just log into your www.weathertalk.com account
Click the NOTIFICATION SETTINGS TAB
Then, turn them on (green) and off (red)

🌪️ Number 1 is the most important one. Severe alerts, tornado alerts, and so on.

Number 2 is the daily video, blog, livestream alerts, and severe weather Facebook threads on severe days or winter storm days.

Number 3 is the daily forecast. I send that out every day during the afternoon hours. It is the seven-day forecast, hazardous weather outlook, fire outlook, and more.

Number 4 is to receive the daily video, blog, and other content on NON-severe weather days (every day without severe threats in other words)

GREEN IS ON
RED IS OFF

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I am going to start going live during bigger severe weather events.

Check it out here https://www.youtube.com/user/beaudodson

Click the subscribe button (it’s a free subscription button), and it will alert you when I go live.  I will also send out alerts to the app when I go live for an event.