September 1, 2025: Meteorological autumn has arrived.

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🌪️ Seven-Day Tornado Outlook ⛈️

September 1st through September 7th

Current risk: NONE.

Current confidence level: High confidence in the forecast.

Comments: We are not anticipating tornadoes.

Seven-Day Hazardous Weather Outlook

1. Is lightning in the forecast? POSSIBLE. A chance of scattered lightning on Tuesday and Wednesday. A slight chance of lightning on Monday night and Thursday.

2. Are organized/widespread severe thunderstorms in the forecast? NO.

3. Is flash flooding in the forecast? NO.

4. Will non-thunderstorm winds top 40 mph? NO.

5. Will temperatures rise above 90 degrees? NO.

6. Will temperatures rise above 100 degrees? NO.

7. Will the heat index (feels like) rise above 100 degrees? NO.

8. Will the heat index rise above 115 degrees? NO.

9. Will the temperature fall below 32 degrees? NO.

Here is the short-range concern meter..

Quiet weather. We are in the green.

Here is the extended concern meter. This takes us through next Sunday.

Organized or widespread extreme/severe weather is not anticipated.

Isolated lightning is possible on Monday night (mainly over KY/TN). Scattered lightning is possible from Tuesday into Wednesday night along an incoming cold front. A slight chance on Thursday.

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A quick forecast glance. Your 48-hour forecast Graphics

Here is your bus stop forecast.

This afternoon

Forecast discussion.

A nice Labor Day Monday is on tap for the region. Mild.
A few showers and thunderstorms are possible tonight (Monday night). Mainly over Kentucky/Tennessee.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible on Tuesday and Wednesday.
Not everyone will receive measurable rainfall. Some locations will pick up 0.25″ to 0.50″. Locally higher in thunderstorms.
Cooler air will filter into the region behind a cold front on Wednesday and Wednesday night.
A second dry cold front will arrive on Friday/Friday night.

Good morning, everyone.

I hope you are having a nice holiday weekend!

The region is experiencing very dry conditions. Burn bans are in effect for some counties.

Let me show you some new dryness maps.

This is the August precipitation ranking map. Out of 133 years, this is the second driest August on record for western Kentucky. That is what the 132 means. The rest of the region is having a top-five driest August on record.

We had record rains earlier in the year. Then, the rain just stopped. I call this a rubber band. It stretches far in one direction and then pops back in the other.

Double-click the image to enlarge it.

Here are the summer precipitation rankings. June through August.

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I suspect we will start having more burn bans in some counties.A large fire occurred in Scott County, Missouri, on Saturday.Dry conditions are anticipated today (Monday).A few showers and thunderstorms will be possible tonight, but most of the region will be dry.Tonight’s chances are mainly over the Pennyrile area of western Kentucky. Lower chances elsewhere. Don’t expect much.A cold front will push into the region on Tuesday and Wednesday. Passing through the region on Wednesday night and Thursday.

Temperatures today through next Monday will be below average.

A few showers and thunderstorms will accompany the front on Tuesday and Wednesday. I capped chances at 20 to 40%.

Unfortunately, not everyone will receive rain. Many locations may receive little or no rainfall.

Drought conditions will worsen over the coming days.

Here is the latest rainfall outlook from the WPC. They continue to lower numbers, as expected.

Double click the image to enlarge it.

A second cold front will pass through the region on Friday night. This front should be dry. There isn’t much moisture to work with.

Rainfall totals will range from 0.00″ to 0.25″. Locally higher in thunderstorms.

This is the probability of 0.50″ of rain or more from the EC model.

This is the probability of 0.50″ of rain or more from the GEFS model.

As you can see, not the best odds.

Use care if you must burn brush or leaves. Make sure your county doesn’t have a burn ban.

The timestamp (upper left) is in Zulu. 12z=7 am. 18z=1 pm. 00z=7 pm.

Double-click the animation to enlarge it.

NAM 3K model

The timestamp (upper left) is in Zulu. 12z=7 am. 18z=1 pm. 00z=7 pm.

Double-click the animation to enlarge it.

Hrrr model

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.Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 90 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 68 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.25″

Six to Ten Day Outlook.

Blue is below average. Red is above average. The no color zone represents equal chances.

Average highs for this time of the year are in the lower 60s. Average lows for this time of the year are in the lower 40s.

Green is above average precipitation. Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation. Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.

Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 88 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 67 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.25″
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Eight to Fourteen Day Outlook.

Blue is below average. Red is above average. The no color zone represents equal chances.

Green is above average precipitation. Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation. Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.

** NEW SERVICE ** I have partnered with WeatherCall to bring you an added layer of protection.
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More information on the WeatherCall subscription service at the link below or use the QR code.

https://weathercallservices.com/beau-dodson-weather

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We have a new service to complement your www.weathertalk.com subscription. This does NOTreplace www.weathertalk.com It is simply another tool for you to receive severe weather information.

I use it myself. I encourage everyone to have 3 to 5 ways of receiving their severe weather information. All sources can fail, and the more sources you have, the better prepared you will be in the event of severe weather warnings.

WeatherCall will call your cell phone or home number if your home is under a tornado or severe thunderstorm warning. It only calls you ifyour home is inside the warning box/polygon. If you are outside the warning box/polygon it will not disturb you.

Here is a video with more information and a demonstration of how it works.
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More information on the WeatherCall subscription service at the link below or use the QR code.

https://weathercallservices.com/beau-dodson-weather

Want to receive the daily forecast/other products on your Beau Dodson Weather app?

Did you know you have four options in your www.weathertalk.com account

You will then receive these via your Beau Dodson Weather app.

Just log into your www.weathertalk.com account
Click the NOTIFICATION SETTINGS TAB
Then, turn them on (green) and off (red)

🌪️ Number 1 is the most important one. Severe alerts, tornado alerts, and so on.

Number 2 is the daily video, blog, livestream alerts, and severe weather Facebook threads on severe days or winter storm days.

Number 3 is the daily forecast. I send that out every day during the afternoon hours. It is the seven-day forecast, hazardous weather outlook, fire outlook, and more.

Number 4 is to receive the daily video, blog, and other content on NON-severe weather days (every day without severe threats in other words)

GREEN IS ON
RED IS OFF

I am going to start going live during bigger severe weather events.

Check it out here https://www.youtube.com/user/beaudodson

Click the subscribe button (it’s a free subscription button), and it will alert you when I go live. I will also send out alerts to the app when I go live for an event.

Radars and Lightning Data

Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ

Old legacy radar site (some of you like it better)
https://weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm

If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.

Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani

Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4

** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar

If the radar is not working, then email me: Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com

We do have some sponsors! Check them out.

Roof damage from recent storms? Link – Click here

INTEGRITY ROOFING AND EXTERIORS!

⛈️ Roof or gutter damage from recent storms? Today’s weather is sponsored by Integrity Roofing. Check out their website at this link https://www.ourintegritymatters.com/

Make sure you have three to five ways of receiving your severe weather information.

Weather Talk is one of those ways! Now, I have another product for you and your family.

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Want to add more products to your Beau Dodson Weather App?

Receive daily videos, weather blog updates on normal weather days and severe weather and winter storm days, your county by county weather forecast, and more!

Here is how to do add those additional products to your app notification settings!

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The app is for subscribers. Subscribe at www.weathertalk.com/welcome then go to your app store and search for WeatherTalk

Subscribers, PLEASE USE THE APP. ATT and Verizon are not reliable during severe weather. They are delaying text messages.

The app is under WeatherTalk in the app store.

Apple users click here

Android users click here

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Radars and Lightning Data

Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ

Old legacy radar site (some of you like it better)
https://weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm

If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.

Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani

Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4

** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar

Lightning Data (zoom in and out of your local area)
https://wtalk.co/WJ3SN5UZ

Not working? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com

National map of weather watches and warnings. Click here.

Storm Prediction Center. Click here.

Weather Prediction Center. Click here.