August 28, 2025: Nice temperatures to continue. Monitoring rain chances next week.

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🌪️ Seven-Day Tornado Outlook ⛈️

August 28th through September 4th

Current risk: NONE.

Current confidence level: High confidence in the forecast.

Comments: We are not anticipating tornadoes.

Seven-Day Hazardous Weather Outlook

1. Is lightning in the forecast? POSSIBLE. A small chance on Monday over portions of western KY and western TN. I am monitoring next Tuesday and Wednesday. Perhaps some showers and thunderstorms along a cold front.

2. Are organized/widespread severe thunderstorms in the forecast? NO.

3. Is flash flooding in the forecast? NO.

4. Will non-thunderstorm winds top 40 mph? NO.

5. Will temperatures rise above 90 degrees? UNLIKELY.

6. Will temperatures rise above 100 degrees? NO.

7. Will the heat index (feels like) rise above 100 degrees? NO.

8. Will the heat index rise above 115 degrees? NO.

9. Will the temperature fall below 32 degrees? NO.

Here is the short-range concern meter..

Quiet weather. We are in the green.

Here is the extended concern meter. This takes us through next Wednesday.

Organized or widespread extreme weather is not anticipated.

We are in the green through Sunday.

Isolated lightning is possible on Monday afternoon and night over western KY and western TN. I am watching a cold front next Tuesday and Wednesday. Additional thunderstorms are possible along a cold front. At this time, severe weather is not anticipated.

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A quick forecast glance. Your 48-hour forecast Graphics

Here is your bus stop forecast.

This afternoon

Forecast discussion.

Mostly calm weather into early next week. A slow warming trend is expected, but temperatures will remain below average through Monday.
A low-end chance of rain today from Butler County, Missouri, southeast into the Missouri Bootheel and western Tennessee. Don’t expect much.
Drought conditions continue to worsen.
I am watching rain chances next Monday afternoon, Tuesday, and Wednesday. See below.

Good morning, everyone.

We are waking up to nice temperatures again. Not as cool as recent days, but still nice.

A fast-moving weather system is expected to bring a few showers to a small portion of the region today. Mainly Butler County, Missouri, into the Missouri Bootheel.

The bulk of this event will miss our region.

Here is what radar looked like at 5:30 AM (see the live radar links at the bottom of the page)

Here is the latest rainfall forecast map. The WPC continues to push this further southwest.

I don’t expect much in our local region.

Friday, Saturday, and Sunday will be nice. Warm days. Cool nights. No weather concerns, except for the dryness.

I am watching Monday and Monday night for a couple of pop-up showers and thunderstorms over western Kentucky and western Tennessee. For now, I kept the chances at 20%.

Then, a cold front is expected to push towards the region on Tuesday and Wednesday. This will bring increasing clouds and a chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms. For now, I kept the chances at 30%. I will monitor trends and raise that number as confidence increases in the final forecast.

Some of you have not received measurable rain in over forty days. It is extremely dry in some counties.

The new drought maps will be out later this morning. I expect the moderate drought to have spread.

The 15-day EC model temperature outlook is nice. The worst of the summer heat is likely behind us.

There will still be some warm days, of course. Not sure how many more 90-degree days we have. Perhaps some, but the threat of days and days of 90s continues to become less likely. Our temperature averages begin to drop as we move into September.

Drought conditions will continue to worsen.

The timestamp (upper left) is in Zulu. 12z=7 am. 18z=1 pm. 00z=7 pm.

Double-click the animation to enlarge it.

NAM 3K model

The timestamp (upper left) is in Zulu. 12z=7 am. 18z=1 pm. 00z=7 pm.

Double-click the animation to enlarge it.

Hrrr model

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.Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 90 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 68 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.25″

Six to Ten Day Outlook.

Blue is below average. Red is above average. The no color zone represents equal chances.

Average highs for this time of the year are in the lower 60s. Average lows for this time of the year are in the lower 40s.

Green is above average precipitation. Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation. Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.

Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 88 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 67 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.25″
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Eight to Fourteen Day Outlook.

Blue is below average. Red is above average. The no color zone represents equal chances.

Green is above average precipitation. Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation. Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.

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Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
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Radars and Lightning Data

Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ

Old legacy radar site (some of you like it better)
https://weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm

If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.

Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani

Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4

** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar

Lightning Data (zoom in and out of your local area)
https://wtalk.co/WJ3SN5UZ

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