Beau Dodson's WeatherTalk Blog

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I have some question-and-answer threads over on the Facebook page.  Link to those threads CLICK HERE

Or email me at beaudodsonweather@gmail.com

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🌪️ Seven-Day Tornado Outlook ⛈️

August 19th through August 25th

Current risk:  NONE.

Current confidence level: High confidence in the forecast.

Comments:   We are not anticipating tornadoes.

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4. Will non-thunderstorm winds top 40 mph?  NO.   

5. Will temperatures rise above 90 degrees?  YES.   Temperatures will rise above 90 degrees today.  The risk of 90 degrees or higher is lower tomorrow, Friday, and Saturday.

6. Will temperatures rise above 100 degrees?  NO.    

7. Will the heat index (feels like) rise above 100 degrees? YES.   Heat index values today will range from 100 to 105 degrees.  Locally higher.  The risk of 100 to 105 degree heat index values will be lower on Wednesday.

8. Will the heat index rise above 115 degrees? NO.   

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Here is the short-range concern meter.

Keep in mind that typical August/summer thunderstorms can produce isolated heavy rain, lightning, and gusty winds.

I can’t rule out a few severe thunderstorm warnings later today and this evening.  Damaging wind will be the concern.

Thus, we will be at 35% on the concern meter.  That is the dark blue zone.  It means that I am monitoring the situation, but not overly concerned.  A few warnings are possible for damaging wind gusts.  Monitor your Beau Dodson Weather App.

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Here is the extended concern meter.  This takes us through Monday.

Organized or widespread extreme weather is not anticipated.

A few thunderstorms are likely with the cold front today and tonight.  Locally heavy rain, lightning, and gusty winds will accompany the thunderstorms.

A few severe thunderstorm warnings can’t be ruled out this afternoon and evening.  Isolated flash flooding, as well.  That is why we popped into the dark blue zone.

The chance of storms has been lowered on Wednesday.  The front has sped up.

I will monitor Saturday night and Sunday for isolated thunderstorms, as well.  We are not expecting severe weather on Saturday night or Sunday.  That front looks to be mainly dry.  There is not much moisture to work with.

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A quick forecast glance.  Your 48-hour forecast Graphics

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Here is your bus stop forecast.

This afternoon

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Good morning, everyone.

Our much-anticipated cold front is approaching from the north.

It will be hot again today.  Widepread mid to upper nineties.

Use common sense heat safety rules.

The great news is that a cold front will push into the region late tonight and tomorrow.  It will slowly move from north to south.  The front should be south of our region by Wednesday afternoon or evening.

The front will do three things.  It will bring scattered showers and thunderstorms.  It will bring cooler temperatures.  Less humid air, as well.

Some of the thunderstorms will produce locally heavy rain, lightning, and gusty winds.  Typical for August.

A few severe thunderstorm warnings will be possible this afternoon and evening.  Again, the concern will be strong wind gusts.

Not everyone will receive measurable rainfall.  Some locations could receive an inch or so in the heaviest thunderstorms.  Perhaps even higher totals if the storms are slow-moving.  Typical summer gully-washers.

Unfortunately, others will remain dry.  It is becoming quite dry in some counties.  Some locations have received little or no rainfall in the past 25+ days.

Cooler and less humid air will filter into the region tomorrow and tomorrow night.

I lowered Wednesday’s rain chances.  The front has sped up a bit.

Temperatures will lower into the eighties by Thursday, Friday, Saturday, and Sunday.  Most likely mid to upper eighties.  But hey, we will take it!  Anything is better than mid to upper nineties.

The trend for next week continues to be cooler.  Thankfully.

Here is what the EC ensembles are showing for temperatures next week.  I chose Paducah as a central location.  Temperatures in the region will be similar.

The trend has been cooler.

The EC ensembles

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Click here if you would like to return to the top of the page.

.Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 90 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 68 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.25″

Six to Ten Day Outlook.

Blue is below average.  Red is above average.  The no color zone represents equal chances.

Average highs for this time of the year are in the lower 60s.  Average lows for this time of the year are in the lower 40s.

Green is above average precipitation.  Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation.  Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.

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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 88 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 67 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.25″
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Eight to Fourteen Day Outlook.

Blue is below average.  Red is above average.  The no color zone represents equal chances.

Green is above average precipitation.  Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation.  Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.

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** NEW SERVICE **  I have partnered with WeatherCall to bring you an added layer of protection.
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More information on the WeatherCall subscription service at the link below or use the QR code.

https://weathercallservices.com/beau-dodson-weather

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We have a new service to complement your www.weathertalk.com subscription.  This does NOTreplace www.weathertalk.com It is simply another tool for you to receive severe weather information.

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I use it myself. I encourage everyone to have 3 to 5 ways of receiving their severe weather information. All sources can fail, and the more sources you have, the better prepared you will be in the event of severe weather warnings.

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WeatherCall will call your cell phone or home number if your home is under a tornado or severe thunderstorm warning.  It only calls you ifyour home is inside the warning box/polygon. If you are outside the warning box/polygon it will not disturb you.

Here is a video with more information and a demonstration of how it works.
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More information on the WeatherCall subscription service at the link below or use the QR code.

https://weathercallservices.com/beau-dodson-weather

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Want to receive the daily forecast/other products on your Beau Dodson Weather app?

Did you know you have four options in your www.weathertalk.com account

You will then receive these via your Beau Dodson Weather app.

Just log into your www.weathertalk.com account
Click the NOTIFICATION SETTINGS TAB
Then, turn them on (green) and off (red)

🌪️ Number 1 is the most important one. Severe alerts, tornado alerts, and so on.

Number 2 is the daily video, blog, livestream alerts, and severe weather Facebook threads on severe days or winter storm days.

Number 3 is the daily forecast. I send that out every day during the afternoon hours. It is the seven-day forecast, hazardous weather outlook, fire outlook, and more.

Number 4 is to receive the daily video, blog, and other content on NON-severe weather days (every day without severe threats in other words)

GREEN IS ON
RED IS OFF

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I am going to start going live during bigger severe weather events.

Check it out here https://www.youtube.com/user/beaudodson

Click the subscribe button (it’s a free subscription button), and it will alert you when I go live.  I will also send out alerts to the app when I go live for an event.