Beau Dodson's WeatherTalk Blog

Good morning, everyone

I hope you had a nice weekend.  The weather was amazing.

There was some smoke/haze around the region, and I know that bothered some of you with asthma.  That smoke was from the US/Canadian wildfires.

Canada is experiencing their second-worst wildfire season on record.

We are waking up to a few clouds and even a couple of showers and thunderstorms on the weather radars.

Here was the 5 am radar

You can barely see the showers east of LBL and some showers and thunderstorms across southwest Indiana, as well.

See the live radar links at the bottom of the page.

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This morning’s weather map shows a frontal boundary to our north and south.  A trough over our region.  That is the reason for the scattered showers and thunderstorms.

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We will have a warming trend this week.  Temperatures will approach 90 degrees by the middle and end of the week.  We are not going back to the extreme numbers we saw over the last two weeks.  Thankfully.

It will be a bit humid, at times.  Normal August weather.

Here is the mugmometer.

Remember, dew point is what controls how humid it feels outside.  It will be a bit more humid/sticky as we move through the week, but nothing extreme.

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This morning’s satellite shows quite a few clouds in the region.

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We will have a chance of showers and thunderstorms today and tomorrow.  Not everyone will experience rain.  I know some areas need rain.

Here is a map showing you the 30-day precipitation anomalies.  This is the percent of normal precipitation.  The brown areas are a bit dry.  The green/blue areas are a bit wetter.

Double-click the image to enlarge it.

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Let me show you the rain probabilities for today through tomorrow.

As you can see, the chances are a bit higher as you travel east of the Mississippi River.  A bit lower west.

Rain totals will mainly range from 0.05″ to 0.40″.  Of course, summer thunderstorms can drop locally much higher amounts.

Here are today’s rain probabilities.  This morning through 7 pm this evening.

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Tonight  7 PM to 7 AM

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Here are the rain probabilities for tomorrow.

7 AM to 7 PM.

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Thursday through Saturday appear to be shaping up dry and warm.

I am watching Sunday and Monday for a return of isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms.

I am watching the tropics.  One area of concern is off the East Coast.  Thankfully, that is a fish storm.  It will move away from the United States.

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We will then observe a system moving off the coast of Africa.  Another area off the southeast coast of the United States.

For now, none of these systems poses an immediate threat to the United States.

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The tropics are always a wild card in August and September for our region.  If a system moves into our region, then widespread rainfall would be the end result.

For now, we are not seeing anything that appears to be of concern.

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The timestamp (upper left) is in Zulu.  12z=7 am. 18z=1 pm. 00z=7 pm.

Double-click the animation to enlarge it.

NAM 3K model

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