Beau Dodson's WeatherTalk Blog

Good day, everyone.  Welcome to the weekend!

Wow, it is the last weekend of June, already.  Here comes July!

Meteorological fall is about eight weeks away!  Hard to believe.   But, one season at a time!

Summer Weather Today

The weather has felt more like July over the past week.  Hot and muggy.  Isolated storms.

The good news is that a cold front is pushing into the region from the north.

You can see that front on this surface map.  The blue line is the cold front.

It remains well to our northwest, but it is moving southeast.  It is moving into our region.

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The front will arrive on Sunday and Monday.

We will experience scattered thunderstorms in the region today, particularly during the peak heating period.  That would be noon to 6 pm.

Scattered thunderstorms tonight into Saturday night.

Lightning will be the primary concern.  Summer thunderstorms can always produce isolated downburst winds.

Thunderstorms can also produce strong wind gusts and heavy rain.  Typically, summer thunderstorms are known to produce an inch of rain in less than thirty minutes.  This can flood ditches and roadways.

Thunderstorm chances are expected to increase on Saturday, Sunday, and Monday.

Let’s look at the daily rain probabilities.  Rain chances will be somewhat lower at night.

Today (7 AM to 7 PM)

Tomorrow (7 AM to 7 PM)

Sunday (7 AM to 7 PM)

Monday (7 AM to 7 PM)

Tuesday (7 AM to 7 PM)

Wednesday (7 AM to 7 PM)

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I am monitoring the speed of the front.  There remain questions about how fast it departs the region.

If the front slows, then thunderstorm chances will linger into Monday and Tuesday.  If the front speeds up a bit, then the chances will be lower.

For now, I have the highest thunderstorm probabilities on Sunday and Monday.  Then, slowly lowering them after Monday.

Today will be the hottest and muggiest day.  Then, a bit lower on Saturday and Sunday.

The heat advisory will expire today.  The NWS thought about extending it into Saturday, but held off.

Either way, it will still be quite warm on Saturday and Sunday.

With time, lower humidity, lower dew points, and somewhat lower temperatures will push into the region on Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday.

It will still be warm, but won’t be quite as awful outside.

Lowering the humidity and dew points will help our cause.  Dew point is a measure of moisture in the atmosphere.  That is what makes it feel muggy outside.

If you have outdoor events this weekend, then monitor the Beau Dodson Weather Radars.  If thunder roars, then move indoors.

Lightning can strike ten or more miles away from a thunderstorm.  We call those bolts out of the blue.

The best advice is to head indoors when lightning approaches.  Let’s keep everyone safe this summer.

When does the heat build back in?  That is a great question.

I am watching for another ridge of high pressure to build back in late next week.  That would mean temperatures return to the 90s.   Hopefully, it won’t be as muggy, but that is certainly a possibility.

I will keep an eye on it.

I hope you have a great weekend!  Rain or shine.

The timestamp (upper left) is in Zulu.  12z=7 am. 18z=1 pm. 00z=7 pm.

Double-click the animation to enlarge it.

NAM 3K model

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EC model..

The timestamp (upper left) is in Zulu.  12z=7 am. 18z=1 pm. 00z=7 pm.

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.Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 87 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 66 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.40″

Six to Ten Day Outlook.

Blue is below average.  Red is above average.  The no color zone represents equal chances.

Average highs for this time of the year are in the lower 60s.  Average lows for this time of the year are in the lower 40s.

Green is above average precipitation.  Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation.  Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.

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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 87 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 67 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.20″ to 1.50″
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Eight to Fourteen Day Outlook.

Blue is below average.  Red is above average.  The no color zone represents equal chances.

Green is above average precipitation.  Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation.  Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.

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** NEW SERVICE **  I have partnered with WeatherCall to bring you an added layer of protection.
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More information on the WeatherCall subscription service at the link below or use the QR code.

https://weathercallservices.com/beau-dodson-weather

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We have a new service to complement your www.weathertalk.com subscription.  This does NOTreplace www.weathertalk.com It is simply another tool for you to receive severe weather information.

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I use it myself. I encourage everyone to have 3 to 5 ways of receiving their severe weather information. All sources can fail, and the more sources you have, the better prepared you will be in the event of severe weather warnings.

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WeatherCall will call your cell phone or home number if your home is under a tornado or severe thunderstorm warning.  It only calls you ifyour home is inside the warning box/polygon. If you are outside the warning box/polygon it will not disturb you.

Here is a video with more information and a demonstration of how it works.
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More information on the WeatherCall subscription service at the link below or use the QR code.

https://weathercallservices.com/beau-dodson-weather

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Want to receive the daily forecast/other products on your Beau Dodson Weather app?

Did you know you have four options in your www.weathertalk.com account

You will then receive these via your Beau Dodson Weather app.

Just log into your www.weathertalk.com account
Click the NOTIFICATION SETTINGS TAB
Then, turn them on (green) and off (red)

🌪️ Number 1 is the most important one. Severe alerts, tornado alerts, and so on.

Number 2 is the daily video, blog, livestream alerts, and severe weather Facebook threads on severe days or winter storm days.

Number 3 is the daily forecast. I send that out every day during the afternoon hours. It is the seven-day forecast, hazardous weather outlook, fire outlook, and more.

Number 4 is to receive the daily video, blog, and other content on NON-severe weather days (every day without severe threats in other words)

GREEN IS ON
RED IS OFF

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I am going to start going live during bigger severe weather events.

Check it out here https://www.youtube.com/user/beaudodson

Click the subscribe button (it’s a free subscription button), and it will alert you when I go live.  I will also send out alerts to the app when I go live for an event.

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