Beau Dodson's WeatherTalk Blog

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I have some question-and-answer threads over on the Facebook page.  Link to those threads CLICK HERE

Or email me at beaudodsonweather@gmail.com

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Want to receive the daily forecast/other products on your Beau Dodson Weather app?

Did you know you have four options in your www.weathertalk.com account

You will then receive these via your Beau Dodson Weather app.

Just log into your www.weathertalk.com account
Click the NOTIFICATION SETTINGS TAB
Then, turn them on (green) and off (red)

🌪️ Number 1 is the most important one. Severe alerts, tornado alerts, and so on.

Number 2 is the daily video, blog, livestream alerts, and severe weather Facebook threads on severe days or winter storm days.

Number 3 is the daily forecast. I send that out every day during the afternoon hours. It is the seven-day forecast, hazardous weather outlook, fire outlook, and more.

Number 4 is to receive the daily video, blog, and other content on NON-severe weather days (every day without severe threats in other words)

GREEN IS ON
RED IS OFF

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🌪️ Seven-Day Tornado Outlook ⛈️

June 24th through July 1st

Current risk:  None.

Current confidence level: High confidence in the forecast.

Comment:   No tornado threats.

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Seven-Day Hazardous Weather Outlook

1. Is lightning in the forecast?  ISOLATED.   There is an isolated risk of lightning today through Saturday.  Scattered lightning is possible Sunday through Tuesday.

It is lightning awareness week.

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2.  Are severe thunderstorms in the forecast?  NOT AT THIS TIME.  I will monitor Sunday through Tuesday of next week.

3. Is flash flooding in the forecast? NOT AT THIS TIME.  I will monitor next Sunday through Tuesday.  Summer thunderstorms can produce heavy downpours.  Keep that in mind.

4. Will non-thunderstorm winds top 40 mph?  NO.   

5. Will temperatures rise above 90 degrees?  YES.   Temperatures will reach 90°F or higher today through at least Saturday.  I will monitor next Sunday and Monday.

6. Will the heat index rise above 100 degrees? YES.    Heat index values will approach and exceed 100 degrees today through Saturday.  I will monitor next Sunday. 

Double click on this graphic to enlarge it.

Double click on this graphic to enlarge it.  Notice the heat index values.

Double-click this graphic to enlarge it.

 

What is the heat index?
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Temperature and Humidity:
The heat index factors in both the actual air temperature and the amount of moisture in the air (relative humidity).

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Perceived Temperature:
High humidity makes it harder for the body to cool itself through sweating, so the perceived temperature is higher than the actual temperature.

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Heat-Related Illnesses:
When the heat index is high, the risk of heat-related illnesses, such as heat cramps, heat exhaustion, and heat stroke, increases, especially with prolonged exposure to the heat or physical activity.

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Shade vs. Sunlight:
The heat index is typically calculated for shaded areas. Exposure to direct sunlight can further increase the perceived temperature.

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A quick forecast glance.  Your 48-hour forecast Graphics

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Forecast discussion.    

•   Summer weather.  Heat and high humidity.  Muggy.  Take common-sense precautions.
•   Hot and muggy weather today into much of the week.
•   Heat index values are expected to exceed 100 degrees over the coming days.
•   A small chance of isolated storms today through Friday.  Slightly higher chances on Saturday.  Higher chances next Sunday through Tuesday.
•   I am watching a cold front late in the weekend or early next week.

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Hot weather will continue.

Remember, the heat index is just as important as the temperature.  Perhaps more important.

The body responds to the heat index (same as wind chill).  Thus, we don’t just tell you the heat index to make it sound hotter.  It is essential for those who work outdoors.

Heat index values will range from 100 to 108 degrees.  Not the best outdoor weather.

No real change in the weather today through Saturday.  Hot and muggy.  Daily highs in the 90s.  Heat index values of 98 to 108 degrees during peak heating.

Overnight lows will be warm, as well, mostly in the 70s.

It would be best to work outside early in the morning or late in the evening.

I have a 10% to 20% chance of showers and thunderstorms during the afternoon and evening hours today through Saturday.

Most areas will remain dry.  A few spots will pick up a slow-moving thunderstorm.

Yesterday, a few spots measured over an inch of rain.  Summer thunderstorms can drop heavy rain in a short amount of time.  This can briefly flood roadways and ditches.

I am watching Sunday through Tuesday for higher rain chances.  Especially Sunday through Tuesday.

A cold front is expected to move into the region late this weekend and early next week.  This will help spark some thunderstorms.

It is a bit early to know if we might have a few intense or severe thunderstorms.

There is disagreement on the exact timing of that front.  Some data holds it off until Monday or Tuesday.  I will monitor trends.

It will be somewhat cooler behind that front.  Nothing extreme.  It is summer.  Cold fronts are not as potent during the summer months.

Know the signs of heat illness.

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It is also lighting safety week.  Common sense rules.

When thunder roars, go indoors.

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Try to stay off the water during thunderstorms.

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The timestamp (upper left) is in Zulu.  12z=7 am. 18z=1 pm. 00z=7 pm.

Double-click the animation to enlarge it.

Hrrr model

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NAM 3K model..

The timestamp (upper left) is in Zulu.  12z=7 am. 18z=1 pm. 00z=7 pm.

 

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.Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 87 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 66 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.40″

Six to Ten Day Outlook.

Blue is below average.  Red is above average.  The no color zone represents equal chances.

Average highs for this time of the year are in the lower 60s.  Average lows for this time of the year are in the lower 40s.

Green is above average precipitation.  Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation.  Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.

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Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 87 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 67 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.20″ to 1.50″
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Eight to Fourteen Day Outlook.

Blue is below average.  Red is above average.  The no color zone represents equal chances.

Green is above average precipitation.  Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation.  Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.

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** NEW SERVICE **  I have partnered with WeatherCall to bring you an added layer of protection.
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More information on the WeatherCall subscription service at the link below or use the QR code.

https://weathercallservices.com/beau-dodson-weather

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We have a new service to complement your www.weathertalk.com subscription.  This does NOTreplace www.weathertalk.com It is simply another tool for you to receive severe weather information.

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I use it myself. I encourage everyone to have 3 to 5 ways of receiving their severe weather information. All sources can fail, and the more sources you have, the better prepared you will be in the event of severe weather warnings.

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WeatherCall will call your cell phone or home number if your home is under a tornado or severe thunderstorm warning.  It only calls you ifyour home is inside the warning box/polygon. If you are outside the warning box/polygon it will not disturb you.

Here is a video with more information and a demonstration of how it works.
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More information on the WeatherCall subscription service at the link below or use the QR code.

https://weathercallservices.com/beau-dodson-weather

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I am going to start going live during bigger severe weather events.

Check it out here https://www.youtube.com/user/beaudodson

Click the subscribe button (it’s a free subscription button), and it will alert you when I go live.  I will also send out alerts to the app when I go live for an event.

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