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🌪️ Seven-Day Tornado Outlook ⛈️
April 21st through April 28th
Current risk: MONITOR.
Current confidence level: Medium.
Comment: I am monitoring next Tuesday. Severe thunderstorms are possible. This is in the long range. I will know more over the coming days. A cold front will bring showers and storms back to the region late Monday into Tuesday night. Right now, it looks like the highest chance of severe weather would be on Tuesday and Tuesday night. Monitor updates.
For now, the Storm Prediction Center has outlined an area for severe weather on Tuesday. This includes portions of our region. I will be monitoring trends in the guidance.
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Seven-Day Hazardous Weather Outlook
1. Is lightning in the forecast? YES. A chance of lightning Thursday into Saturday. The highest chance of lightning will arrive on Thursday and Friday. A small chance of lightning Saturday night and Sunday/Sunday night.
A small chance of lightning on Monday.
A higher chance of lightning on Tuesday.
2. Are severe thunderstorms in the forecast? MONITOR. A small chance of intense storms on Friday. Severe weather appears unlikely.
Some storms could be intense next Tuesday/Tuesday night.
3. Is flash flooding in the forecast? NOT AT THIS TIME.
4. Will non-thunderstorm winds top 40 mph? NO.
5. Will temperatures rise above 90 degrees? NO.
6. Will the heat index rise above 100 degrees? NO.
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A quick forecast glance. Your 48-hour forecast Graphics
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Forecast discussion.
- Mild this week. Nice today.
- A few showers and storms from Thursday afternoon into Friday night. I can’t rule out a few showers lingering into Saturday and Sunday.
- Another chance of thunderstorms Monday and Tuesday. Peak chances early next week appear to be on Tuesday/Tuesday night.
- At this time, organized severe weather is not anticipated Thursday afternoon into Saturday. I can’t rule out a strong storm on Friday, but for now, we are not expecting severe storms. Perhaps a few of the storms could produce gusty winds.
- It will be quite warm early next week, with temperatures in the 80s.
- A few storms could be intense next Tuesday and Tuesday night.
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Good morning, everyone.
A beautiful day ahead of us. I hope you can find time to go outside and enjoy the fresh air! A great day to mow the yard. Mild temperatures. Light wind conditions.
A series of systems will bring a chance of showers and thunderstorms back to the forecast Thursday afternoon and Friday. With a few showers lingering into Saturday. A small chance on Sunday.
Peak rain chances will likely arrive on Friday and Friday night.
Here are the anticipated rainfall totals through Saturday morning.
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I am watching another system next Monday and Tuesday. Especially Tuesday.
A few of those storms could be intense. CAPE (energy that storms tap into) will be a bit higher with that system.
Temperatures will be warm over the coming days.
The warmest days will likely be next Monday and Tuesday. Some locations could hit the middle to upper 80s early next week!
Here is the latest seven-day rainfall forecast. This covers this week’s rain event and the one early next week.
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Some data shows another system next Thursday and Friday. A fairly active spring pattern.
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The timestamp (upper left) is in Zulu. 12z=7 am. 18z=1 pm. 00z=7 pm.
Double-click the animation to enlarge it.
NAM model
This animation shows you from tomorrow to Saturday.
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Let’s look further out. This is the system early next week. The GFS is active much of next week.
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Click here if you would like to return to the top of the page.
.Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 72 degrees.
Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 50 degrees.
Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.00″ to 1.40″
Six to Ten Day Outlook.
Blue is below average. Red is above average. The no color zone represents equal chances.
Average highs for this time of the year are in the lower 60s. Average lows for this time of the year are in the lower 40s.
Green is above average precipitation. Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation. Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.
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Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 54 degrees.
Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 1.20″ to 1.50″
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Eight to Fourteen Day Outlook.
Blue is below average. Red is above average. The no color zone represents equal chances.
Green is above average precipitation. Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation. Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.
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We have a new service to complement your www.weathertalk.com subscription. This does NOT replace www.weathertalk.com It is simply another tool for you to receive severe weather information.
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Radars and Lightning Data
Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ
Old legacy radar site (some of you like it better)
https://weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm
If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.
Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani
Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4
** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar
If the radar is not working, then email me: Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com
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We do have some sponsors! Check them out.
Roof damage from recent storms? Link – Click here
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Make sure you have three to five ways of receiving your severe weather information.
Weather Talk is one of those ways! Now, I have another product for you and your family.
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Want to add more products to your Beau Dodson Weather App?
Receive daily videos, weather blog updates on normal weather days and severe weather and winter storm days, your county by county weather forecast, and more!
Here is how to do add those additional products to your app notification settings!
Here is a video on how to update your Beau Dodson Weather payment.
The app is for subscribers. Subscribe at www.weathertalk.com/welcome then go to your app store and search for WeatherTalk
Subscribers, PLEASE USE THE APP. ATT and Verizon are not reliable during severe weather. They are delaying text messages.
The app is under WeatherTalk in the app store.
Apple users click here
Android users click here
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Radars and Lightning Data
Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ
Old legacy radar site (some of you like it better)
https://weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm
If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.
Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani
Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4
** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar
Lightning Data (zoom in and out of your local area)
https://wtalk.co/WJ3SN5UZ
Not working? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com
National map of weather watches and warnings. Click here.
Storm Prediction Center. Click here.
Weather Prediction Center. Click here.
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Live lightning data: Click here.
Real time lightning data (another one) https://map.blitzortung.org/#5.02/37.95/-86.99
Our new Zoom radar with storm chases
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Interactive GOES R satellite. Track clouds. Click here.
GOES 16 slider tool. Click here.
College of DuPage satellites. Click here
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Here are the latest local river stage forecast numbers Click Here.
Here are the latest lake stage forecast numbers for Kentucky Lake and Lake Barkley Click Here.
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