February 25, 2025: Mild today!

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Seven-Day Tornado Outlook

February 25th through March 3rd

Tornado activity is not anticipated.

Seven-Day Hazardous Weather Outlook

1. Is lightning in the forecast? POSSIBLE. Wednesday afternoon and evening. Mainly over KY/TN.

2. Are severe thunderstorms in the forecast? NO.

3. Is flash flooding in the forecast? NO. There is ongoing river flooding in some counties.

4. Will non-thunderstorm winds top 40 mph? NO.

5. Will temperatures drop below 10 degrees? NO.

6. Will the wind chill dip below 0 degrees? NO.

7. Is measurable snow and/or sleet in the forecast? NO.

8. Is freezing rain/ice in the forecast? NO.

A quick forecast glance. Your 48-hour forecast Graphics

Forecast discussion.

Widespread mild temperatures today. A few clouds. A northwest wind, may make it feel cooler, at times. I hoping for more sunshine than clouds. If we have plenty of sunshine then some locations will hit the middle 60s! 50s north. 60s south.
There is a chance of a few showers on Wednesday/Wednesday night. A band of showers. Light rainfall totals. 0.00″ to 0.25″.
River flooding continues in some counties. It will take some time for the rivers to recede.
Decent weather Thursday into Monday.
I’m watching March 4th to 6th for a system. I can’t rule out thunderstorms. A bit early for certainties.

We are waking up to cool temperatures. It is a bit warmer than yesterday morning.

A great weather day is ahead of us. A mix of sun and clouds. I am hoping for more sun than clouds today. If we can achieve peak sunshine, then some of my southern counties will likely hit the middle 60s! That will feel amazing.

There will be a northwest wind. That will make it feel a bit cooler, at times.

The warmest day will be Wednesday (ahead of a fast moving weak cold front).

Widespread fifties and sixties today. Widespread sixties tomorrow.

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A few showers and a rumble of thunder will be possible on Wednesday afternoon and evening. No severe thunderstorms, thankfully.

Here is the thunderstorm outlook from the Storm Prediction Center

The green zone is where lightning is possible. Again, no severe weather.

See the future-cast radars below the Weather Call information (scroll down).

Let’s look at those precipitation probabilities.

Wednesday, 6 am to 6 pm (mostly pm chances).

The graphic below, shows you the Wednesday evening and overnight rain probabilities. Peak chances will be around 60%.

A quick-moving band of showers.

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This is not a big precipitation event. This will not aggravate the river flooding situation.

Rainfall totals will be on the light side. Some locations could end up dry.

Here is the latest rainfall forecast for the rain event.

Not much.

You may double-click on the images to enlarge them.

Notice the Poplar Bluff area has trace amounts. A bit more as you travel farther east.

I am watching several precipitation events during the first ten days of March. Right now, they look wet, not white.

A cooler shot of air is possible behind the March 5th system. Temperatures will likely be several degrees below average.

Guidance shows rain showers with a chance of embedded thunderstorms on Monday.

I have low-end rain chances for now.
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Another system arrives around March 4th and 5th. Plenty of time to monitor these systems.

This one occasionally shows up as a stronger system. Then, other model runs take it away. Thus, I am monitoring trends in the guidance. Again, plenty of time to watch it.
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The EC model is a bit stronger with the March 4th/5th system.

Another system appeared a few days later.
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The severe weather analogs are showing some spikes of concern for areas to our south with these early to mid-March systems. For now, I am watching trends. Whether we have to deal with severe storms is unknown.

This graphic is for March 4th into the 10th. It is signaling mostly to our south.

I will keep a close eye on it.

At some point, severe weather will become a concern. It always does during the spring months.

Make sure you have multiple ways of receiving your severe weather alerts.

** NEW SERVICE ** I have partnered with WeatherCall to bring you an added layer of protection.
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We have a new service to compliment your www.weathertalk.com subscription. This does NOT replace www.weathertalk.com It is simply another tool for you to receive severe weather information.

I use it myself. I encourage everyone to have 3 to 5 ways of receiving their severe weather information. All sources can fail, and the more sources you have, the better prepared you will be in the event of severe weather warnings.

WeatherCall will call your cell phone or home number if your home is under a tornado or severe thunderstorm warning. It only calls you if your home is inside the warning box/polygon. If you are outside the warning box/polygon it will not disturb you.

Here is a video with more information and a demonstration of how it works.
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More information on the WeatherCall subscription service at the link below or use the QR code.

https://weathercallservices.com/beau-dodson-weather

What radar might look like.

Here is the NAM future-cast radar. You can see those scattered showers on Wednesday afternoon and evening.

Double-click the animation to enlarge it.

The timestamp (upper left) is in Zulu. 12z=6 am. 18z=12 pm. 00z=6 pm.

The NAM model shows the mid-week system.

Radars and Lightning Data

Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ

Old legacy radar site (some of you like it better)
https://weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm

If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.

Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani

Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4

** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar

If the radar is not working, then email me: Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com

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.Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 50 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 30 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 0.90″ to 1.20″

Six to Ten Day Outlook.

Blue is below average. Red is above average. The no color zone represents equal chances.

Average highs for this time of the year are in the lower 60s. Average lows for this time of the year are in the lower 40s.

Green is above average precipitation. Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation. Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.

Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 51 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 31degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 0.90″ to 1.20″
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Eight to Fourteen Day Outlook.

Blue is below average. Red is above average. The no color zone represents equal chances.

Green is above average precipitation. Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation. Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.

Make sure you have three to five ways of receiving your severe weather information.

Weather Talk is one of those ways! Now, I have another product for you and your family.

** NEW SERVICE ** I have partnered with WeatherCall to bring you an added layer of protection.
.

We have a new service to compliment your www.weathertalk.com subscription. This does NOT replace www.weathertalk.com It is simply another tool for you to receive severe weather information.

Here is a video with more information and a demonstration of how it works.
.

More information on the WeatherCall subscription service at the link below or use the QR code.

https://weathercallservices.com/beau-dodson-weather

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Radars and Lightning Data

Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ

Old legacy radar site (some of you like it better)
https://weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm

If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.

Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani

Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4

** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar

Lightning Data (zoom in and out of your local area)
https://wtalk.co/WJ3SN5UZ

Not working? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com

National map of weather watches and warnings. Click here.

Storm Prediction Center. Click here.

Weather Prediction Center. Click here.