January 8, 2025: The normal daily blog update. Please see the winter storm blog post for more information.

Click one of the links below to take you directly to that section

Seven Day Hazardous Weather Outlook

The LIVE Winter Storm Blog has been initiated.

Here is the link for the live winter storm blog. CLICK HERE

1. Is lightning in the forecast? NO.

2. Are severe thunderstorms in the forecast? NO.

3. Is flash flooding in the forecast? NO.

4. Will non-thunderstorm winds top 40 mph? NO.

5. Will temperatures drop below 32 degrees? YES. On and off this week and weekend. Every night through at least Monday night. Some days, as well. See your daily forecast.

6. Will the wind chill dip below 10 degrees? YES. Wind chill values today, tonight, and tomorrow will dip below ten degrees.

7. Is measurable snow and/or sleet in the forecast? LIKELY. Late Thursday night into Friday evening. Centered on Friday.

8. Is freezing rain/ice in the forecast? NO.

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Field and Brush Fire weather risk level.

Wednesday: 3. Very low risk.
Wednesday night: 3. Very low risk.
Thursday: 3. Low risk.
Thursday night: 3. Very low risk.

Fire Weather Discussion

The risk of brush or field fires is low.

A Haines Index of 6 means a high potential for an existing fire to become large or exhibit erratic fire behavior, 5 means medium potential, 4 means low potential, and anything less than 4 means very low potential.

THE FORECAST IS GOING TO VARY FROM LOCATION TO LOCATION.

Scroll down to see your local forecast details.

Seven-day forecast for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, western Kentucky, and western Tennessee.

This is a BLEND for the region. Scroll down to see the region by region forecast.

-> NOTE Temperatures will vary GREATLY this week based on snow and ice cover. Areas with snow and ice cover could be 10 degrees colder than shown here. See the daily hand written forecast farther down in this update for your location.

Beau’s Seven Day Video Outlook

A look at the weekend snow system

48-hour forecast Graphics

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Today’s Local Almanacs (for a few select cities). Your location will be comparable.

Note, the low is this morning’s low and not tomorrows.

The forecast temperature shows you today’s expected high and this morning’s low.

The graphic shows you the record high and record low for today. It shows you what year that occurred, as well.

It then shows you what today’s average temperature is.

It shows you the departures (how may degrees above or below average temperatures will be ).

It shows you the average precipitation for today. Average comes from thirty years of rain totals.

It also shows you the record rainfall for the date and what year that occurred.

The sunrise and sunset are also shown.

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Wednesday Forecast: Partly sunny. Clouds may linger in some areas keeping it colder.
What is the chance of precipitation?
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 0%
Southeast Missouri ~ 0%
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 0%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 0%
Southern Illinois ~ 0%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 0%
Far western Kentucky (Purchase area) ~ 0%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 0%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 0%
Northwest Tennessee ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the precipitation:
Temperature range:
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 22° to 24°
Southeast Missouri ~ 26° to 28°
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 30° to 34°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 18° to 22°
Southern Illinois ~ 22° to 25°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 26° to 30°
Far western Kentucky ~ 28° to 30°
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~25° to 30°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 22° to 24°
Northwest Tennessee ~ 30° to 34°
Winds will be from this direction: Northwest 6 to 12 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 0° to 10° during the morning. 20 to 30 during the afternoon.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Cold. Icy roads in the winter storm zone.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B in areas with icy roadways.
UV Index: 2. Low.
Sunrise: 7:10 AM
Sunset: 4:55 PM
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Wednesday Night Forecast: Mostly clear. Bitterly cold.
What is the chance of precipitation?
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 0%
Southeast Missouri ~ 0%
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 0%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 0%
Southern Illinois ~ 0%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 0%
Far western Kentucky (Purchase area) ~ 0%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 0%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 0%
Northwest Tennessee ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the precipitation:
Temperature range:
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 4° to 8°
Southeast Missouri ~ 8° to 12°
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 18° to 22°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 2° to 5°
Southern Illinois ~ 6° to 12°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 8° to 12°
Far western Kentucky ~ 10° to 12°
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 12° to 14°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 8° to 12°
Northwest Tennessee ~ 16° to 18°
Winds will be from this direction: Variable wind direction at 4 to 8 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 5° to 10° during the morning. 10 to 20 during the afternoon.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Cold. Icy roads in the winter storm zone.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B in areas with icy roadways.
Moonrise: 12:15 PM
Moonset: 1:42 AM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Gibbous

The LIVE Winter Storm Blog has been initiated.

Here is the link for the live winter storm blog. CLICK HERE

Thursday Forecast: Mostly sunny. Cold. Some afternoon clouds streaming in from the southwest.
What is the chance of precipitation?
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 0%
Southeast Missouri ~ 0%
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 0%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 0%
Southern Illinois ~ 0%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 0%
Far western Kentucky (Purchase area) ~ 0%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 0%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 0%
Northwest Tennessee ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the precipitation:
Temperature range:
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 34° to 36°
Southeast Missouri ~ 34° to 38°
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 34° to 38°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 28° to 30°
Southern Illinois ~ 30° to 32°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 32° to 35°
Far western Kentucky ~ 33° to 36°
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~33° to 36°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 30° to 34°
Northwest Tennessee ~ 34° to 38°
Winds will be from this direction: Light wind
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: -5° to 15° during the morning. 15 to 25 during the afternoon.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Cold. Icy roads in the winter storm zone.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B in areas with icy roadways.
UV Index: 2. Low.
Sunrise: 7:10 AM
Sunset: 4:56 PM
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Thursday Night Forecast: Increasing clouds. Snow developing.
What is the chance of precipitation?

Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 60%
Southeast Missouri ~ 70%
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 80%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 40%
Southern Illinois ~ 40%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 60%
Far western Kentucky (Purchase area) ~ 60%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 40%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 40%
Northwest Tennessee ~ 70%
Coverage of precipitation: Numerous
Timing of the precipitation: Mainly after midnight.
Temperature range:
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 18° to 20°
Southeast Missouri ~ 22° to 25°
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 26° to 30°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 20° to 22°
Southern Illinois ~ 22° to 25°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 24° to 28°
Far western Kentucky ~ 24° to 28°
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 24° to 28°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 22° to 25°
Northwest Tennessee ~ 28° to 30°
Winds will be from this direction: South 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 10° to 20°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Cold. Icy roads in the winter storm zone.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B in areas with icy roadways.
Moonrise: 12:52 PM
Moonset: 2:56 AM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Gibbous

Friday Forecast: Mostly cloudy. Snow. Snow may be heavy across our southern counties. Less snow north. More snow south. See the live winter storm blog for graphics.
What is the chance of precipitation?

Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 60%
Southeast Missouri ~ 80%
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 100%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~70%
Southern Illinois ~ 90%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 100%
Far western Kentucky (Purchase area) ~ 100%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 100%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 80%
Northwest Tennessee ~ 100%
Coverage of precipitation: Widespread
Timing of the precipitation: Any given point of time.
Temperature range:
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 28° to 32°
Southeast Missouri ~ 28° to 32°
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 28° to 32°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 28° to 32°
Southern Illinois ~ 28° to 32°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 28° to 32°
Far western Kentucky ~ 28° to 32°
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 28° to 32°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 28° to 32°
Northwest Tennessee ~ 28° to 32°
Winds will be from this direction: Becoming west at 7 to 14 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 5° to 15° during the morning. 20 to 30 during the afternoon.
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Icy road conditions.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B and monitor updates.
UV Index: 2. Low.
Sunrise: 7:10 AM
Sunset: 4:56 PM
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Friday Night Forecast: Mostly cloudy. A chance of snow during the evening. Snow tapering west to east.

Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 30%
Southeast Missouri ~ 30%
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 30%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 40%
Southern Illinois ~ 40%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 60%
Far western Kentucky (Purchase area) ~ 60%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 80%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 60%
Northwest Tennessee ~ 60%
Coverage of precipitation: Numerous early in the evening. Becoming scattered.
Timing of the precipitation: Mainy before midnight
Temperature range:
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 16° to 20°
Southeast Missouri ~ 20° to 22°
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 22° to 25°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 15° to 20°
Southern Illinois ~ 14° to 18°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 16° to 18°
Far western Kentucky ~ 18° to 20°
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 18° to 20°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 14° to 16°
Northwest Tennessee ~ 20° to 22°
Winds will be from this direction: Light winds
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 10° to 20°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Cold. Icy roadways.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B and monitor updates.
Moonrise: 12:52 PM
Moonset: 2:56 AM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Gibbous

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** NEW SERVICE ** I have partnered with WeatherCall to bring you an added layer of protection.
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We have a new service to compliment your www.weathertalk.com subscription. This does NOT replace www.weathertalk.com It is simply another tool for you to receive severe weather information.

I use it myself. I encourage everyone to have 3 to 5 ways of receiving their severe weather information. All sources can fail and the more sources you have, the better prepared you will be in the event of severe weather warnings.

WeatherCall will call your cell phone or home number if your home is in a tornado or severe thunderstorm warning. It only calls you if your home is inside the warning box/polygon. If you are outside the warning box/polygon it will not disturb you.

Here is a video with more information and a demonstration of how it works.
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More information on the WeatherCall subscription service at the link below or use the QR code.

https://weathercallservices.com/beau-dodson-weather

Weather Highlights and Forecast Discussion

1. Cold weather will linger into the weekend. Temperatures will vary GREATLY based on cloud cover and location. Those with snow and ice will experience colder temperatures. Those areas without clouds will be colder. Where clouds linger, temperatures can be 10 degrees warmer.
2. Icy roads will continue to be an issue in the hardest hit areas.
3. Avoid power lines and damaged trees.
4. New winter storm moves into the region Thursday night into Friday. Ending Friday night.

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Beau’s Forecast Discussion

I am going to post on the live winter storm blog.

The LIVE Winter Storm Blog has been initiated.

Here is the link for the live winter storm blog. CLICK HERE

See the weather forecast discussion there.

Time stamp is in Zulu. 00z=6 pm. 06z=12 am. 12z=6 am. 18z=12 pm.

The Hrrr model

Double click images and animations to enlarge them.

I posted these above

Here is the NAM model.

I posted these above

Let’s look farther out. The Monday and Wednesday systems.

GFS model

Time stamp is in Zulu. 00z=6 pm. 06z=12 am. 12z=6 am. 18z=12 pm.

Red is freezing rain. Purple is sleet. Blue is snow. Green, yellow, and orange represent rain.

I posted these above

EC model

Time stamp is in Zulu. 00z=6 pm. 06z=12 am. 12z=6 am. 18z=12 pm.
Red is freezing rain. Purple is sleet. Blue is snow. Green, yellow, and orange represent rain.

I posted these above

Canadian model

Time stamp is in Zulu. 00z=6 pm. 06z=12 am. 12z=6 am. 18z=12 pm.

Red is freezing rain. Purple is sleet. Blue is snow. Green, yellow, and orange represent rain.

I posted these above

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This outlook covers southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, western Kentucky, and far northwest Tennessee.

Today’s Storm Prediction Center’s (SPC) Severe Weather Outlook

Light green is where thunderstorms may occur but should be below severe levels.

Dark green is a level one risk. Yellow is a level two risk. Orange is a level three (enhanced) risk. Red is a level four (moderate) risk. Pink is a level five (high) risk.

One is the lowest risk. Five is the highest risk.

A severe storm is one that produces 58 mph wind or higher, quarter or larger size hail, and/or a tornado.

Explanation of tables. Click here.

Day One Severe Weather Outlook

Day One Severe Weather Outlook. Zoomed in on our region.

Day One Tornado Probability Outlook

Day One Regional Tornado Outlook. Zoomed in on our region.

Day One Large Hail Probability Outlook

Day One Regional Hail Outlook. Zoomed in on our region.

Day One High wind Probability Outlook

Day One Regional Wind Outlook. Zoomed in on our region.

Tomorrow’s severe weather outlook. Day two outlook.

Day Two Outlook. Zoomed in on our region.

Day Three Severe Weather Outlook

The images below are from NOAA’s Weather Prediction Center.

24-hour precipitation outlook..
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48-hour precipitation outlook.
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.Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 45 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 30 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 0.90″ to 1.20″

Six to Ten Day Outlook.

Blue is below average. Red is above average. The no color zone represents equal chances.

Average highs for this time of the year are in the lower 60s. Average lows for this time of the year are in the lower 40s.

Green is above average precipitation. Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation. Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.

Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 45 degrees.

Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 28 degrees.

Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 0.90″ to 1.20″
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Eight to Fourteen Day Outlook.

Blue is below average. Red is above average. The no color zone represents equal chances.

Green is above average precipitation. Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation. Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.

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Radars and Lightning Data

Interactive-city-view radars. Clickable watches and warnings.
https://wtalk.co/B3XHASFZ

Old legacy radar site (some of you like it better)
https://weatherobservatory.com/weather-radar.htm

If the radar is not updating then try another one. If a radar does not appear to be refreshing then hit Ctrl F5. You may also try restarting your browser.

Backup radar site in case the above one is not working.
https://weathertalk.com/morani

Regional Radar
https://imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4

** NEW ** Zoom radar with chaser tracking abilities!
ZoomRadar

Lightning Data (zoom in and out of your local area)
https://wtalk.co/WJ3SN5UZ

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National map of weather watches and warnings. Click here.

Storm Prediction Center. Click here.

Weather Prediction Center. Click here.