Click one of the links below to take you directly to that section
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Seven Day Hazardous Weather Outlook
1. Is lightning in the forecast? YES. A chance of lightning today through Friday night. A small chance of lightning Saturday and Sunday. A chance of lightning Sunday night into Tuesday. I will monitor next Wednesday.
I know many of you have outdoor activities over the coming days. The weather will be problematic.
There will be dry periods on the Fourth of July. It isn’t going to rain all day. There could be lengthy lulls, but then thunderstorms will eventually become more numerous during the late afternoon and overnight hours. Whether this impacts fireworks will need to be monitored.
The best advice, that I can give, is to go about your activities. Have a plan B. Monitor both my weather updates and the Beau Dodson Weather Radars. Links at the bottom of the page.
2. Are severe thunderstorms in the forecast? YES. Thunderstorms could be severe this afternoon into Thursday night. I will keep an eye on Friday.
3. Is flash flooding in the forecast? YES. Thunderstorm complexes will produce three to six+ inches of rain in a few short hours. I will be monitoring today into Friday. Pockets of flash flooding will likely develop.
In general, rain totals will range from 1.0″ to 2.0″. Then, there will be the heavier pockets.
4. Will non-thunderstorm winds top 40 mph? NO.
5. Will temperatures rise above 100 degrees? NO.
6. Will the heat index (feels like temperature) exceed 100 degrees? YES. Heat index values will exceed 100 degrees today and perhaps Thursday. Thursday will depend on cloud cover.
7. Will the heat index (feels like temperature) exceed 110 degrees? POSSIBLE. We will need to monitor this afternoon. It could be close in some counties.
8. Will the wind chill dip below 10 degrees? NO.
9. Is measurable snow and/or sleet in the forecast? NO.
10. Is freezing rain/ice in the forecast? NO.
Freezing rain is rain that falls and instantly freezes on objects such as trees and power lines Freezing fog possible, as well.
Fire weather risk level.
Wednesday through Wednesday night: 4. Low risk.
Thursday: 4. Low risk.
Thursday night: 4. Low risk.
Fire Weather Discussion
Hot and humid conditions will support multiple rounds of thunderstorms with heavy rainfall through Thursday. A cold frontal passage Friday will usher in normal temperatures and dry conditions for the weekend. South winds will return Sunday.
A Haines Index of 6 means a high potential for an existing fire to become large or exhibit erratic fire behavior, 5 means medium potential, 4 means low potential, and anything less than 4 means very low potential.
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THE FORECAST IS GOING TO VARY FROM LOCATION TO LOCATION.
Scroll down to see your local forecast details.
Seven-day forecast for southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, western Kentucky, and western Tennessee.
This is a BLEND for the region. Scroll down to see the region by region forecast.
Heat alert today
48-hour forecast Graphics
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Today’s Local Almanacs (for a few select cities). Your location will be comparable.
Note, the low is this morning’s low and not tomorrows.
The forecast temperature shows you today’s expected high and this morning’s low.
The graphic shows you the record high and record low for today. It shows you what year that occurred, as well.
It then shows you what today’s average temperature is.
It shows you the departures (how may degrees above or below average temperatures will be ).
It shows you the average precipitation for today. Average comes from thirty years of rain totals.
It also shows you the record rainfall for the date and what year that occurred.
The sunrise and sunset are also shown.
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Wednesday Forecast: Partly sunny. Warmer. More humid. A chance of thunderstorms. Mainly this afternoon into the evening. Some storms could be severe with damaging wind, hail, torrential rain, and frequent lightning.
What is the chance of precipitation?
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 60%
Southeast Missouri ~ 60%
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 30% to 40%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 60%
Southern Illinois ~ 60%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 40%
Far western Kentucky (Purchase area) ~ 40%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 30%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 40% to 50%
Northwest Tennessee ~ 30%
Coverage of precipitation: Widely scattered before 2 pm. Becoming increasingly numerous during the afternoon and evening.
Timing of the precipitation: Mainly during the afternoon and evening. A lower chance before noon.
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 92° to 95°
Southeast Missouri ~ 92° to 95°
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 92° to 95°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 92° to 95°
Southern Illinois ~ 92° to 95°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 92° to 95°
Far western Kentucky ~ 92° to 95°
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 92° to 95°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 92° to 95°
Northwest Tennessee ~ 92° to 95°
Winds will be from this direction: South southwest 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 100° to 108°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lighting. Heavy rain. Gusty winds near storms. Some storms could become severe with wind damage.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor the weather radars
UV Index: 10. Very high.
Sunrise: 5:39 AM
Sunset: 8:20 PM
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Wednesday Night Forecast: Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation?
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 70%
Southeast Missouri ~ 70%
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 40%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 70%
Southern Illinois ~ 60%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 60%
Far western Kentucky (Purchase area) ~ 40% to 50%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 40% to 50%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 40% to 50%
Northwest Tennessee ~ 40% to 50%
Coverage of precipitation: Numerous
Timing of the precipitation: Any given point of time.
Temperature range:
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 72° to 74°
Southeast Missouri ~ 72° to 74°
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 74° to 76°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 72° to 74°
Southern Illinois ~ 72° to 74°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 72° to 74°
Far western Kentucky ~ 72° to 75°
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 74° to 76°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 72° to 74°
Northwest Tennessee ~ 74° to 76°
Winds will be from this direction: South southwest 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 72° to 74°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lightning. Locally heavy rain. Gusty wind near storms. Some storms could become severe.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B and monitor updates.
Moonrise: 3:09 AM
Moonset: 6:45 PM
The phase of the moon: Waning Crescent
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Thursday Forecast: Partly sunny. Warmer. Humid. A chance of a thunderstorm.
What is the chance of precipitation?
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 70%
Southeast Missouri ~ 60%
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 60%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 70%
Southern Illinois ~ 60% to 70%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 70%
Far western Kentucky (Purchase area) ~ 70%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 70%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 70%
Northwest Tennessee ~ 70%
Coverage of precipitation: Numerous
Timing of the precipitation: Any given point of time.
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 85° to 90°
Southeast Missouri ~ 86° to 88°
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 88° to 92°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 85° to 90°
Southern Illinois ~ 88° to 92°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 88° to 92°
Far western Kentucky ~ 86° to 88°
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 88° to 92°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 88° to 92°
Northwest Tennessee ~ 88° to 92°
Winds will be from this direction: South southwest 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 90° to 98°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lighting. Heavy rain. Gusty winds near storms. A few storms could become severe with wind damage.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B ready. Thunderstorms are possible.
UV Index: 8. Very high.
Sunrise: 5:40 AM
Sunset: 8:20 PM
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Thursday Night Forecast: Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation?
Far northern southeast Missouri ~60%
Southeast Missouri ~ 60%
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 40% to 50%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 60%
Southern Illinois ~ 60%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 60%
Far western Kentucky (Purchase area) ~ 50% to 60%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 50% to 60%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 60%
Northwest Tennessee ~ 40% to 50%
Coverage of precipitation: Scattered to numerous (more numerous if we have a complex of thunderstorms).
Timing of the precipitation: Any given point of time.
Temperature range:
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 64° to 66°
Southeast Missouri ~ 64° to 68°
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 66° to 68°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 64° to 68°
Southern Illinois ~ 64° to 66°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 64° to 66°
Far western Kentucky ~ 66° to 68°
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 66° to 68°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 66° to 68°
Northwest Tennessee ~ 66° to 70°
Winds will be from this direction: South southwest 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 66° to 74°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lightning. Locally heavy rain. Gusty wind near storms.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? Have a plan B and monitor the Beau Dodson Weather Radars.
Moonrise: 4:00 AM
Moonset: 7:47 PM
The phase of the moon: Waning Crescent
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Friday Forecast: Partly sunny. A chance of a thunderstorm.
What is the chance of precipitation?
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 20%
Southeast Missouri ~ 30%
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 40% to 50%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 30%
Southern Illinois ~ 30% to 40%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 40% to 50%
Far western Kentucky (Purchase area) ~ 50% to 60%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 70% to 80%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 60%
Northwest Tennessee ~ 60% to 70%
Coverage of precipitation: Numerous over our eastern counties. Widely scattered far west.
Timing of the precipitation: Any given point of time.
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 84° to 86°
Southeast Missouri ~ 84° to 86°
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 84° to 88°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 84° to 86°
Southern Illinois ~ 84° to 88°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 84° to 88°
Far western Kentucky ~ 84° to 88°
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~84° to 88°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 84° to 86°
Northwest Tennessee ~ 84° to 88°
Winds will be from this direction: South southwest 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 84° to 92°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lighting. Heavy rain. Gusty winds near storms.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor updates and the Beau Dodson weather radars.
UV Index: 8. Very high.
Sunrise: 5:41 AM
Sunset: 8:19 PM
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Friday Night Forecast: Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
What is the chance of precipitation?
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 10%
Southeast Missouri ~ 10%
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 20%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 10%
Southern Illinois ~ 10%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 20%
Far western Kentucky (Purchase area) ~ 20% to 30%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 30%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 20% to 30%
Northwest Tennessee ~ 20% to 30%
Coverage of precipitation: Widely scattered
Timing of the precipitation: Any given point of time.
Temperature range:
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 64° to 68°
Southeast Missouri ~ 64° to 68°
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 64° to 68°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 64° to 68°
Southern Illinois ~ 64° to 68°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 64° to 68°
Far western Kentucky ~ 64° to 68°
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~64° to 68°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 64° to 68°
Northwest Tennessee ~ 64° to 68°
Winds will be from this direction: West northwest 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 64° to 68°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lightning. Locally heavy rain. Gusty wind near storms.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor updates and the Beau Dodson weather radars.
Moonrise: 4:57 AM
Moonset: 8:41 PM
The phase of the moon: New
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Saturday Forecast: Mostly sunny.
What is the chance of precipitation?
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 10%
Southeast Missouri ~ 10%
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 10%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 10%
Southern Illinois ~ 10%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 10%
Far western Kentucky (Purchase area) ~ 10%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 10%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 10%
Northwest Tennessee ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the precipitation:
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 84° to 86°
Southeast Missouri ~ 84° to 86°
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 84° to 86°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 84° to 86°
Southern Illinois ~ 84° to 86°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 84° to 88°
Far western Kentucky ~ 84° to 88°
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~84° to 88°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 84° to 86°
Northwest Tennessee ~ 84° to 86°
Winds will be from this direction: Northwest 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 84° to 88°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 10. Very high.
Sunrise: 5:41 AM
Sunset: 8:19 PM
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Saturday Night Forecast: Mostly clear.
What is the chance of precipitation?
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 0%
Southeast Missouri ~ 0%
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 0%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 0%
Southern Illinois ~ 0%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 0%
Far western Kentucky (Purchase area) ~ 0%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 0%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 0%
Northwest Tennessee ~ 0%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the precipitation:
Temperature range:
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 64° to 66°
Southeast Missouri ~ 64° to 66°
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 64° to 66°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 64° to 66°
Southern Illinois ~ 64° to 66°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 64° to 66°
Far western Kentucky ~ 64° to 66°
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~64° to 66°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 64° to 66°
Northwest Tennessee ~ 64° to 66°
Winds will be from this direction: West northwest 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 64° to 66°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
Moonrise: 6:00 AM
Moonset: 9:25 PM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Crescent
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Sunday Forecast: Mostly sunny.
What is the chance of precipitation?
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 10%
Southeast Missouri ~ 10%
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 10%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 10%
Southern Illinois ~ 10%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 10%
Far western Kentucky (Purchase area) ~ 10%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 10%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 10%
Northwest Tennessee ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation:
Timing of the precipitation:
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 85° to 90°
Southeast Missouri ~ 85° to 90°
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 85° to 90°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 85° to 90°
Southern Illinois ~ 85° to 90°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 85° to 90°
Far western Kentucky ~ 85° to 90°
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~85° to 90°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 85° to 90°
Northwest Tennessee ~ 85° to 90°
Winds will be from this direction: Southeast 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 85° to 90°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather?
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No
UV Index: 10. Very high.
Sunrise: 5:42 AM
Sunset: 8:19 PM
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Sunday Night Forecast: Partly cloudy. A chance of thunderstorms. Mainly over Missouri and Illinois.
What is the chance of precipitation?
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 20%
Southeast Missouri ~ 20%
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 20%
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 20%
Southern Illinois ~ 20%
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 20%
Far western Kentucky (Purchase area) ~ 10%
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 10%
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 10%
Northwest Tennessee ~ 10%
Coverage of precipitation: Widely scattered. Mainly over MO IL.
Timing of the precipitation: After 8 PM.
Temperature range:
Far northern southeast Missouri ~ 65° to 70°
Southeast Missouri ~ 65° to 70°
The Missouri Bootheel ~ 65° to 70°
I-64 Corridor of southern Illinois ~ 65° to 70°
Southern Illinois ~ 65° to 70°
Extreme southern Illinois (southern seven counties) ~ 65° to 70°
Far western Kentucky ~ 65° to 70°
The Pennyrile area of western KY ~ 65° to 70°
Northwest Kentucky (near Indiana border) ~ 65° to 70°
Northwest Tennessee ~ 65° to 70°
Winds will be from this direction: South 5 to 10 mph
Wind chill or heat index (feels like) temperature forecast: 65° to 70°
What impacts are anticipated from the weather? Wet roadways. Lightning.
Should I cancel my outdoor plans? No, but monitor the Beau Dodson Weather Radars.
Moonrise: 7:06 AM
Moonset: 10:01 PM
The phase of the moon: Waxing Crescent
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- Hot today. Muggy.
- Heat values will top 105 degrees today.
- Locally heavy thunderstorms will produce flash flooding concerns today into Friday. A few storms could be severe today into tomorrow with damaging wind and large hail. Frequent lightning is a concern for outdoor events.
- Those with outdoor activities should monitor updates and radars.
Weather advice:
Do you have any suggestions or comments? Email me at beaudodson@usawx.com
Make sure you have three to five ways of receiving your severe weather information.
Weather Talk is one of those ways.
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Beau’s Forecast Discussion
today will be hot and muggy. Highs in the 90s. Heat index values of 100 to 112 degrees.
There are some scattered showers and thunderstorms this morning across far northern counties of southeast Missouri and southern Illinois. As of 7 am, most of those storms were outside of my forecast area. They were, however, moving east and a little southeast. They could bring some precipitation to our northern counties over the coming hours.
Much of today will then be dry. There will be a chance of widely scattered thunderstorms at any given point today, but the bulk of the activity will hold off until after 3 pm this afternoon.
From mid to late afternoon, showers and thunderstorms will redevelop along the outflow boundary. Some of these storms will be quite intense with a chance of damaging wind and hail.
The storms will then move east southeast. Some of the storms will produce torrential rainfall and frequent lightning. Monitor updates.
On and off thunderstorm chances will remain with us through at least Friday. A small chance Saturday and Sunday. Additional thunderstorm chances Sunday night into Tuesday.
Locally very heavy rain is likely over the coming days. I expected bands of three to six+ inches of rain. That will be the exception and not the norm. Generally, the region will experience 1.00 to 2.00″ of rain.
This could lead to flash flooding. Especially where the bands of three to six+ inches occur. Avoid flooded roadways (if they develop).
I know many of you have outdoor activities over the coming days. The weather will be problematic.
There will be dry periods on the Fourth of July. It isn’t going to rain all day. There could be lengthy lulls, but then thunderstorms will eventually become more numerous during the late afternoon and overnight hours. Whether this impacts fireworks will need to be monitored.
The best advice, that I can give, is to go about your activities. Have a plan B. Monitor both my weather updates and the Beau Dodson Weather Radars. Links at the bottom of the page.
There will be thunderstorms in the region Wednesday through at least Friday. It is just a matter of exact location and amounts.
As mentioned above, I suspect there will be bands of three to six inches of rain mixed in with these MCS events. In general, the region can expect 1.00″ to 2.00″ of rain. Then, pockets of much higher totals will lead to flash flooding.
Remember last year? During July and August we experienced severe flooding from training MCS’s. Training means storms repeatedly move over the same areas. Those events produced over 20 inches of rain in some counties.
MCS’s are copious rain producers.
Here is the latest NOAA/WPC rainfall outlook. It shows bands of greater than four inches. It is virtually impossible to nail the exact location of the heaviest rain totals. We will have to see where the thunderstorm complexes develop and train. Where the training occurs, is where the big big totals will be.
Take this graphic as the general idea.
The NAM model shows some big totals, as well. A wide range of totals on this model.
PWAT values will be towards the 99% percentile. That means an extreme amount of moisture in the air. Storms will tap into those extreme PWAT values and produce gully washers.
PWAT values for Wednesday afternoon
There will also be a risk of severe weather Wednesday through Friday. Some of the thunderstorms could produce 60 to 70 mph wind, nickel size hail, torrential downpours, and frequent cloud to ground lightning.
If lightning threatens, then move activities indoors. As always. Use common sense storm rules.
We will have to closely monitor the weather pattern over the coming weeks. We will be swinging between the heat ridge (dry) and MCS’s (floods). The placement of the heat dome/the heat ridge will determine where the MCS’s move.
MCS’s can bring damaging wind, as well.
Microburst winds can also occur with summer thunderstorms. Microbursts occur when thunderstorms collapse. All that air pushes downward and outward. This can cause damage to trees and power lines.
A microburst is a localized column of sinking air (downdraft) within a thunderstorm and is usually less than or equal to 2.5 miles in diameter. Microbursts can cause extensive damage at the surface, and in some instances, can be life-threatening.
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This outlook covers southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, western Kentucky, and far northwest Tennessee.
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Today’s Storm Prediction Center’s (SPC) Severe Weather Outlook
Light green is where thunderstorms may occur but should be below severe levels.
Dark green is a level one risk. Yellow is a level two risk. Orange is a level three (enhanced) risk. Red is a level four (moderate) risk. Pink is a level five (high) risk.
One is the lowest risk. Five is the highest risk.
A severe storm is one that produces 58 mph wind or higher, quarter or larger size hail, and/or a tornado.
Explanation of tables. Click here.
Day One Severe Weather Outlook
Day One Severe Weather Outlook. Zoomed in on our region.
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Day One Tornado Probability Outlook
Day One Regional Tornado Outlook. Zoomed in on our region.
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Day One Large Hail Probability Outlook
Day One Regional Hail Outlook. Zoomed in on our region.
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Day One High wind Probability Outlook
Day One Regional Wind Outlook. Zoomed in on our region.
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Tomorrow’s severe weather outlook. Day two outlook.
Day Two Outlook. Zoomed in on our region.
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Day Three Severe Weather Outlook
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The images below are from NOAA’s Weather Prediction Center.
24-hour precipitation outlook..
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48-hour precipitation outlook.
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Again, as a reminder, these are models. They are never 100% accurate. Take the general idea from them.
What should I take from these?
- The general idea and not specifics. Models usually do well with the generalities.
- The time-stamp is located in the upper left corner.
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What am I looking at?
You are looking at computer model data. Meteorologists use many different models to forecast the weather.
Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time. 12z=7 AM. 18z=1 PM. 00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM
Green represents light rain. Dark green represents moderate rain. Yellow and orange represent heavier rain.
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This animation is the NAM Model.
This graphic shows you what this particular model believes the radar may look like. Each model may be a little different. The more models that agree, the higher the confidence in the forecast outcome.
Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time. 12z=7 AM. 18z=1 PM. 00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM
Double click images to enlarge them.
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This animation is the FV3 Model.
This graphic shows you what this particular model believes the radar may look like. Each model may be a little different. The more models that agree, the higher the confidence in the forecast outcome.
Green is rain. Yellow and orange are heavier rain. Pink is a wintry mix. Blue is snow. Dark blue is heavier snow.
Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time. 12z=7 AM. 18z=1 PM. 00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM
Double click images to enlarge them.
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This animation is the HRRR Model.
This graphic shows you what this particular model believes the radar may look like. Each model may be a little different. The more models that agree, the higher the confidence in the forecast outcome.
Green is rain. Yellow and orange are heavier rain. Pink is a wintry mix. Blue is snow. Dark blue is heavier snow.
Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time. 12z=7 AM. 18z=1 PM. 00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM
Double click images to enlarge them.
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This animation is the GFS Model.
This graphic shows you what this particular model believes the radar may look like. Each model may be a little different. The more models that agree, the higher the confidence in the forecast outcome.
Green is rain. Yellow and orange are heavier rain. Pink is a wintry mix. Blue is snow. Dark blue is heavier snow.
Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time. 12z=7 AM. 18z=1 PM. 00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM
Double click images to enlarge them.
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This animation is the EC Model.
This graphic shows you what this particular model believes the radar may look like. Each model may be a little different. The more models that agree, the higher the confidence in the forecast outcome.
Green is rain. Yellow and orange are heavier rain. Pink is a wintry mix. Blue is snow. Dark blue is heavier snow.
Occasionally, these maps are in Zulu time. 12z=7 AM. 18z=1 PM. 00z=7 PM. 06z=1 AM
Double click images to enlarge them.
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.Average high temperatures for this time of the year are around 75 degrees.
Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 54 degrees.
Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 0.80″ to 1.60″
Six to Ten Day Outlook.
Blue is below average. Red is above average. The no color zone represents equal chances.
Average highs for this time of the year are in the lower 60s. Average lows for this time of the year are in the lower 40s.
Green is above average precipitation. Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation. Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.
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Average low temperatures for this time of the year are around 54 degrees.
Average precipitation during this time period ranges from 0.80″ to 1.60″
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Eight to Fourteen Day Outlook.
Blue is below average. Red is above average. The no color zone represents equal chances.
Green is above average precipitation. Yellow and brown favors below average precipitation. Average precipitation for this time of the year is around one inch per week.
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Storm Prediction Center. Click here.
Weather Prediction Center. Click here.
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Here are the latest local river stage forecast numbers Click Here.
Here are the latest lake stage forecast numbers for Kentucky Lake and Lake Barkley Click Here.
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